Posts Tagged ‘statistics’

Psychic Octopuses

Monday, July 12th, 2010

So the big news these days is obvi­ously Paul the Psy­chic Octo­pus. Def­i­nitely inter­est­ing. It was able to main­tain a 100% suc­cess rate in this year’s World Cup (and a much higher suc­cess rate than it had in 2008 where it mis­pre­dicted a whop­ping two matches).

So what’s going on here? Freak coin­ci­dence? Super­nat­ural pow­ers? At a first glance, both sound ridicu­lous to me.

But I want to think about the more “inter­est­ing” expla­na­tion a bit: per­haps Paul really is psy­chic. Per­haps Paul can tell the future. (more…)